Accentuate the Negative

by Suzanne M. Rivera, Ph.D.

While attending the annual Advancing Ethical Research Conference of Public Responsibility in Medicine and Research (PRIM&R) last month in San Diego, I had the opportunity to hear a talk by Dr. John Ioannidis, in which he debunked commonly accepted scientific “truths.”  Calling upon his own work, which is focused on looking critically at published studies to examine the strength of their claims (see his heavily downloaded 2005 paper “Why Most Published Research Findings Are False”), Ioannidis raised important questions for those of us who think about research ethics, and who oversee and manage the research conducted at universities and scientific institutes across the country.

Ioannidis persuasively argued that our system for publishing only studies with statistically significant positive findings has resulted in a bizarre kind of reality where virtually no studies are ever reported that found “negative” results.  Negative results are suppressed because nobody is interested in publishing them.  Editors and reviewers have a major role in this problem; they choose not to publish studies that are not “sexy.”  This artificially inflates the proportion of observed “positive” results and influences the likelihood a scientist will even write up a journal article because she knows what it takes to get published.

But isn’t there an ethical obligation to publish so-called negative results?  In human research, people give their time and undergo risks for the conduct of a study.  Their sacrifices are not meaningful if the results are never shared.  Furthermore, negative results tell us something important.  And if they are not published, some other research team somewhere else may unknowingly repeat a study, putting a new batch of subjects at risk, to investigate a question for which the answer is already known.  Finally, to the extent a study is conducted using taxpayer dollars, the data derived should be considered community property, and there are opportunity costs associated with unnecessarily repetitive work.  Read More

Two Reflections on Health Law Scholarship

By Patrick O’Leary

Last spring I had the chance to work as a research assistant for Marc Rodwin, a Lab Fellow at Harvard’s Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics, reading through hundreds (perhaps thousands) of pages of Congressional hearing transcripts from the 1960s and 1970s relating to the federal regulation of drugs. In reading the final version of the article that I helped to research, Independent Clinical Trials to Test Drugs: The Neglected Reform, forthcoming in Volume 6 of the Saint Louis University Journal of Health Law & Policy (also available online), two things occurred to me about the way academics and to some extent policymakers approach regulatory law, especially in the life sciences.

First, it struck me that in the general discourse about health policy, we are often surprisingly oblivious to history. Although the first U.S. law requiring safety or efficacy testing for new drugs was passed a mere 75 years ago, the intervening decades have been prolific when it comes to proposals and debate. What Rodwin’s article does, and I think is valuable both to support his own proposition and to advance the scholarship of others, is to frame his contemporary proposal with a close historical look at similar proposals and the debate surrounding them. What becomes clear, whether the topic is independent clinical testing, the “drug lag,” or the scope of patent protection and marketing exclusivity, is that our “new” ideas about how to improve the system are often anything but. The idea that we ought to know the history of our subject is not particularly groundbreaking, of course, but it’s plain we could be doing more. I’ve found that even the little history I’ve read–all those hearings, of course, but also wonderful books like Daniel Carpenter’s Reputation and Power and Philip J. Hilts’s Protecting America’s Health, and under-utilized resources like FDA’s Oral History Transcripts–has proved endlessly valuable even in thinking about cutting edge ideas like those I’m privileged to be exposed to as a participant in the Petrie-Flom Center’s Health Law Policy and Bioethics Workshop.

Second, it occurred to me that when we think and write about health policy, we might benefit from distinguishing–at least for ourselves–between two distinct projects: the practical endeavor of proposing “realistic” policy changes that take account of and purport to improve on our imperfect and historically contingent regulatory regime, on the one hand, and the more theoretical work of contemplating an ideal system, a “castle in the sky.” Folks who think deeply and write about these issues obviously engage in both: Rodwin’s article, for example, plainly takes the present framework as its starting point, but does so with the larger theoretical question in mind.  I just wonder if we might be more explicit in articulating how proposed incremental changes fit into a broader project of making the regulatory scheme look more like our hypothetical ideal. The history of regulatory law is so littered with incremental changes that have had unanticipated consequences elsewhere in the system that I would love to see more authors lay out explicitly what they hope the system will look like, and justify their incremental proposals as part of that broader vision.

Elhauge on Solving the Patent Settlement Puzzle

Founding Director of the Petrie-Flom Center, Professor Einer Elhauge, has just published an article with co-author Alex Krueger on an issue that the Supreme Court just granted certiorari on in FTC v. Watson: the proper antitrust analysis of reverse payment patent settlements.  In such settlements, the alleged infringer receives a payment and agrees to stay out of the market for a number of years.  Such settlements have been particularly prevalent in the pharmaceutical industry that has such a large effect on health care costs. The appellate courts have all recognized that such settlements have anticompetitive potential to exclude entry for far longer than merited by the probability of patent victory.  However, the courts have split on whether to find these settlements presumptively anticompetitive or lawful if within the formal scope of a non-sham patent.  The latter courts have focused on the possibility that a settlement might not exclude entry for longer than merited by the probability of patent victory and the administrative difficulty of conducting case-by-case inquiries into that probability.  Professor Elhauge’s article seeks to solve this puzzle by showing that case-by-case inquiries are unnecessary when the reverse payment amount exceeds the patent holder’s future anticipated litigation costs, because one can infer that such settlements will exclude entry for longer than merited by that probability of patent victory, whatever that probability may be.

Not too late for that ethically inclined law and society loved one’s stocking

Nicky Priaulx of Cardiff and Anthony Wrigley of Keele have edited the latest volume in the Ashgate book series, “Ethics, Law and Society.”  Matthew Weait and I have contributed a piece on the ethics of sex with HIV, but the book covers a wide range of contemporary health/ethics/legal questions, including cloning, organ procurement, surrogacy, confidentiality in family courts, informed consent, and the place of child-rearing men in a gendered world.  Robin West says it “provokes, intrigues, and enlightens, suggesting multiple paths for the futures of the related fields of bioethics, the study of care and caregiving, and the ethics and law of reproduction and reproductive technologies.”

Details on the paper and e-book are here.